African Resilience! Private Equity in Africa proves its mettle

Hogan Lovells
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Hogan Lovells

Despite numerous economic, political and regulatory challenges faced by investors, Private equity in South Africa appears to continue to deliver long term sustainable returns for its stakeholders and has outperformed major listed equity indices over the past decade. Private equity continues to attract significant funding from local and foreign investors. These achievements should be celebrated considering that the industry has had to navigate through a global financial crisis and the recent commodities slump.

The findings of the September 2016 RisCura – SAVCA South African Private Equity Performance Report, affirms that the private equity industry in Southern Africa, is continuing to exceed expectations. Over the last ten years the internal rate of return ("IRR") of private equity in South Africa was 17.7%. 

From an African perspective it is estimated that close to USD16 billion in funds were raised by private equity managers over the last five years. The African private equity success story has benefited all stakeholders. Recent reports by the African Private Equity and Venture Capital Association ("AVCA") indicate that with the continued support of Development Finance Institutions ("DFIs"), investment in private equity have led to significant job creation and improved corporate governance on the continent.

African private equity is however still very much underrepresented as an asset class in institutional portfolios and traditional institutional investors such as pension funds and insurers should be encouraged to expand and invest in this industry.

Despite all the successes to date, private Equity in Africa still experiences many unique challenges, for example:

- Investments remain relatively illiquid. Compared to developed markets, investors are required to adopt a long term view on their investment rather than a short term solution for increased returns. The hold period was 6.1 years on average in 2015, up from 5 years compared to the previous year. This indicates that investors are conscious of the fact that they need to wait a bit longer before the investment will yield higher return. 

- Exit options remain restricted with trade deals still representing the most accessible option. 

- Exits through the capital markets ("IPOs") have dropped-off in recent years. DFIs also have a development agenda in mind when investing in private equity and bring a basket of key features such as improved sustainability, governance and social economic obligation to the table which can cause delays and missed opportunities.

According to the International Monetary Fund ("IMF") Africa is due to reap the reward from a "demographic dividend" in the coming years. As the economies in Africa modernise, the growing middle class is also expected to stimulate demand for new products and services. Private equity in Africa is therefore perfectly placed to capitalise on these growth opportunities.

Moving to the international front, recent developments in the American political landscape as well as the Brexit phenomena poses challenges to the global economy. Political uncertainty places a major impediment on economic growth and stability. Given global political and economic uncertainties, investors are more risk adverse. Private equity in Africa can however give investors some comfort when one has regard to the upwards curve on returns. Investors should be encouraged to make use of this opportunity.

The general sentiment amongst investors is that private equity in Africa continues to mature with regard to investments in portfolio companies, funding and exit strategies. Despite the challenges highlighted above private equity in Africa remains resilient in challenging economic times. The proliferation and diversification of funds and deals over the last decade proves that there is healthy appetite for this asset class from local and foreign investors and if the predictions over the burgeoning population and increasing middle class are to be believed then Africa represents a great destination for private equity investment.

In the coming days and months private equity stakeholders and thought leaders will come together to reflect on past achievements and discuss the way forward at the SAVCA 2017 Private Equity in Southern Africa Conference in Cape Town South Africa, and the 14th Annual AVCA Conference in Cote d'Ivoire.

DISCLAIMER: Because of the generality of this update, the information provided herein may not be applicable in all situations and should not be acted upon without specific legal advice based on particular situations.

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