UK & European Financial Services M&A: Sector trends H2 2022 | H1 2023 — Banks
Our outlook for bank M&A remains encouraging notwithstanding market uncertainty associated with the Russia/Ukraine conflict and turmoil following the SVB and Credit Suisse failures. Europe’s banks are continuing to reshape their product offerings through ‘home market’ consolidations and opportunistic acquisitions. Clear signs of the bricks & mortar businesses of today morphing into the technology-driven champions of tomorrow.” Hyder Jumabhoy
Our outlook for bank M&A remains encouraging notwithstanding market uncertainty associated with the Russia/Ukraine conflict and turmoil following the SVB and Credit Suisse failures. Europe’s banks are continuing to reshape their product offerings through ‘home market’ consolidations and opportunistic acquisitions. Clear signs of the bricks & mortar businesses of today morphing into the technology-driven champions of tomorrow.”
Hyder Jumabhoy
Continuing high levels of M&A activity, with a growing appetite for strategic alliances and partnerships (which are less risky in the current uncertain market climate).
Regional and domestic bank consolidation is likely to continue as banks attempt to bolster home market positions.
Europe's challenger and neo bank community is expected to come under increasing pressure as PE/VC purse strings remain tight on the one hand, and IPO markets remain soft on the other.
Lloyds to close more branches, drawing a line under the provision of face-to-face services. In 2023, it will close 86 Lloyds sites, 53 Halifax branches and 16 Bank of Scotland sites. Finextra (July 2023)
NatWest is closing 43 branches across the UK as more and more clients turn to mobile banking. S&P Global (October 2022)
HSBC is to close a quarter of its UK branches, as it comes under pressure from its biggest investor to cut costs and scale back its network. Financial Times (November 2022)
German bank Raiffeisenbank im Hochtaunus has become the first in the country to close all its branches, and move to digital banking. S&P Global (October 2022)
Italian banks to cut 27% of branches over the next 7 years, as the use of digital banking continues to rise. S&P Global (February 2023)
Crelan plans to cut the number of its bank branches from 800 to 450. S&P Global (January 2023)
Spanish banks reduced branch network by more than 10,000 in 2022. S&P Global (February 2023)
FCA toughens stance on bank branch closures. So far in 2022, 248 bank branches have closed in the UK, and a further 288 are scheduled to shut by 2022-end. Finextra (October 2022)
Banking pods to replace local branch services. They will provide the local community with face-to-face and automated banking services. Finextra (February 2023)
Barclays replaces branches with semi-permanent banking pods. Finextra (January 2023)
UK to roll out more shared banking hubs as High Street lenders push ahead with further branch closure programmes. Finextra (January 2023)
European banks are preparing to deliver on massive share buyback plans and repay hundreds of billions of euros in cheap central bank funding as they look to calm investors spooked by recent turmoil in the sector. S&P Global (April 2023)
Capital offerings by banks in Europe recovered to their highest half-year level since the height of CV-19 even amid significant market turmoil. S&P Global (July 2023)
European banks' capital offerings rebound to best H1 2023 since 2020. €225 billion of funding was raised between January 2023 and June 2023. S&P Global (July 2023)
European bank stocks have outperformed their global peers so far in 2023, with investors seeing reasons to be positive going forward. A sample of 25 big European banks showed that 23 are set to record year-over-year increases in net interest income in 2023. S&P Global (July 2023)
Capital raising by European banks remains subdued in 2022 as rising interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty hit markets. S&P Global (February 2023)
Deal highlight: White & Case advised The Republic of Uzbekistan on its inaugural bank privatisation, structured as the sale of the Uzbek State's majority equity stake in Ipoteka Bank to OTP Bank in two tranches, spread across three years.
Deal highlight: White & Case advised Czech Republic–based J&T Banka on its purchase of certain assets and securities from Expobank.
Deal highlight: White & Case advised Alpha Bank, the largest of Greece's four systemic banks by market capitalisation, on the disposal, by way of competitive auction process, of Alpha Bank Albania to OTP Bank.
ECB piles pressure on banks to exit Russia even as window for sale closes. Financial Times (February 2023)
European Commission proposes imposing sanctions on additional Russian banks, as part of a ninth package of sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. S&P Global (December 2022)
Russia bans sale of stakes in 45 foreign-owned banks without prior presidential permission. S&P Global (October 2022)
Russia extends the ban on the sale of stakes in financial and other strategic companies owned by entities from countries that imposed sanctions on Russia until 31 December 2023. S&P Global (December 2022)
Deal highlight: White & Case advised JUDr. Jiřina Lužová, the insolvency trustee of Sberbank Czech Republic, a subsidiary of Sberbank (Europe), in connection with the €1.7 billion sale of Sberbank Czech Republic's assets to Česká spořitelna.
Deal highlight: White & Case advised Alpha Bank on the disposal of Alpha Bank's Hermes Tranche A NPL portfolio.
Deal highlight: White & Case advised Nordic Capital–backed Intrum on its acquisition of TDR Capital–backed Arrow Global's UK unsecured, performing and non-performing consumer loan servicing operations, carried out under the CapQuest and Mars brands.
Deal highlight: White & Case advised Alpha Bank on its disposal by way of competitive auction of a portfolio of real estate assets to an investor consortium led by consortium comprising Dimand and Premia Properties.
Italy's large banks are well-positioned to deal with the expected worsening of asset quality in 2023. Lenders have comfortably low impaired loan ratios and solid risk governance processes. S&P Global (April 2023)
Problem loans at European banks fell 3% in Q3 2022, as asset quality improved in key segments such as commercial real estate and small businesses. S&P Global (April 2023)
European banks' stock of riskier loans rises to record high, equating to 9.5% of all loans, the highest level since the IFRS 9 accounting standard was introduced in 2018. S&P Global (December 2022)
Turkish banks' distressed debt exceeds US$46 billion amid idle bad loan market. S&P Global (October 2022)
The four largest UK banks stepped up loan loss provisioning in Q3 2022 as they braced for an economic downturn in 2023. S&P Global (November 2022)
Deal highlight: White & Case advised Union Bank of Nigeria, one of Africa's longest-standing and most respected financial institutions, on the disposal of the bank, by way of competitive auction process, by Atlas Mara and its other controlling shareholders to Titan Trust Bank.
Bank M&A in central, southeast Europe set to pick up in the next few years. Consolidation among central and southeast Europe's banks is likely in the medium term, as smaller lenders evaluate their options. S&P Global (May 2023)
Please refer to the 'Fintech' report in this series.
Deal highlight: Banking sector investment hit hard by PE slowdown. PE's modest exposure to the banking industry is on track to fall further in 2023. Mergermarket (April 2023)
Global regulators are set to sharpen their scrutiny of hedge funds, clearing houses and pension assets in 2023 after a run of crises has shifted watchdogs' focus towards risks outside the banking system. Financial Times (January 2023)
Deal highlight: White & Case advised Klarna on its US$800 million Equity round, at a post-money valuation of US$6.7 billion.
Challenger and specialist banks lent to small businesses more than the traditional major players in 2022 – a record £35.5 billion. Finextra (March 2023)
Since its launch in September 2021, more than 1.6 million customers now bank with Chase in the UK. Chase is winning over customers through a slick digital experience and high standards of customer care. Finextra (May 2023)
Investors are increasingly unwilling to put funds into digital 'challenger' banks unless they demonstrate a clear route to profitability. UK firms in 2021 attracted €2.20 billion, up from €860 million in 2020. S&P Global (December 2022)
UBS's acquisition of Credit Suisse was the standout transaction in a quiet Q1 2023 of European bank M&A. Just 17 bank transactions were announced during Q1 2023, the lowest level since before 2018. S&P Global (May 2023)
City braces for tighter regulation after banking turmoil. UK government doubles down on its vision for bolstering London's competitiveness by rewriting its financial services rule book. Financial Times (March 2023)
Dealmaking at 10-year low in Q1 as bank crisis hits confidence. Global dealmaking suffered its weakest start to the year in a decade, as a darkening economic outlook depressed activity and a transatlantic banking crisis put the brakes on risk taking. Financial Times (March 2023)
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DISCLAIMER: Because of the generality of this update, the information provided herein may not be applicable in all situations and should not be acted upon without specific legal advice based on particular situations. Attorney Advertising.
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